Courtesy of Apple TV+ (2); Courtesy of Netflix Share on Facebook Share on X Share to Flipboard Send an Email Show additional share options Share on LinkedIn Share on Pinterest Share on Reddit Share on Tumblr Share on Whats App Print the Article Post a Comment Best Drama Series Courtesy of Apple TV+; Lucasfilm Ltd./Disney+ WILL WIN Severance There's a lot of love for HBO Max's rookie The Pitt, but it garnered just 13 total nominations (two other nominees from its own network have more, The White Lotus with 23 and The Last of Us with 16), whereas Apple TV+'s sophomore series Severance has 27, more than any other show this year. (The most nominated drama last lost this award in 2017.) - Scott Feinberg Related Stories TV 'Deaf President Now!' Filmmaker Nyle DiMarco Refused to Take No for an Answer, Now He's the First Deaf Director Nominated for an Emmy TV Director James Burrows, 84, Says the Industry "Is Trying to Retire Me" SHOULD WIN Andor Tony Gilroy's Rogue One prequel, Andor, capped a triumphant two-season run as an ambitious examination of encroaching fascism and the tiny, human seeds from which great rebellions grow. Diego Luna continued to anchor the underrated ensemble that helped Gilroy take viewers to new planets and the brink of cinema's most beloved franchise without ever pandering. - Daniel Feinberg Best Lead Actor, Drama Series Courtesy of HBO WILL WIN Noah Wyle All five contenders hail from a best drama series nominee. Sterling K. Brown, who won this award for This Is Us in 2017, is back with Hulu's Paradise. But this is probably between two well-liked vets who've never won: Severance's Adam Scott, previously nominated for his show's prior season, and The Pitt's Noah Wyle, last nominated 26 years ago for ER. Flip a coin. - S.F. SHOULD WIN Noah Wyle There's a lot to be said for confident expertise, which is both what Wyle's Dr. Robby brings to the Pittsburgh Trauma Medical Center ER and what could have been a distractingly sprawling cast. Everything about Wyle's performance feels cumulative, in the affection viewers bring for the ER star and the weight of an impossibly hard day's work on his character. - D.F. Best Lead Actress, Drama Series Sonja Flemming/CBS; Alex Bailey/Netflix WILL WIN Kathy Bates CBS' rookie series Matlock is a giant hit, and everyone loves Kathy Bates - already a two-time Emmy winner and now this category's oldest nominee ever. Bates, however, is the sole drama acting nominee from a network show, and hers received no other noms, which gives me pause. If an upset occurs, it would probably be at the hands of Severance's Britt Lower. - S.F. SHOULD WIN Keri Russell There's no wrong answer in this category, though Bad Sisters really should be treated as a comedy and Severance had too many other shiny objects to focus on, making Lower too frequently a supporting player. Russell's the pick based on the season's homestretch, when she goes head-to-head with Emmy royalty Allison Janney and more than holds her own. - D.F. Best Comedy Series Courtesy of Apple TV+ (2) WILL WIN The Studio HBO Max's Hacks and FX on Hulu's The Bear, both past winners, cannot be counted out. But the shiny new toy, Apple TV+'s The Studio, landed the most noms by far, 23 - besting Ted Lasso's record for a rookie comedy - nine more than next-best Hacks, another series about showbiz, which is the only other nominee that's also nominated for both directing and writing. - S.F. SHOULD WIN Shrinking After a solid first season, Apple TV+'s Shrinking made a big leap in its second, toning down the "damaged and unconventional shrink does weird things with patients" aspect of the plot in favor of a more ensemble approach focused on heartwarming and very funny cycles of characters screwing up, apologizing, hugging and then screwing up again. Kinda like life. - D.F. Best Lead Actor, Comedy Series Courtesy of Apple TV+ (2) WILL WIN Seth Rogen For each of the two prior seasons of The Bear, Jeremy Allen White won this award, and he certainly could three-peat. But based on this year's nomination totals, it seems like voters have significantly cooled on his show (13, down from 23 last year) while fully embracing The Studio and its leading man, Seth Rogen, who's also nominated for producing, writing and directing. - S.F. SHOULD WIN Jason Segel Jason Segel's performance was more refined in season two of Shrinking, without losing the veins of rage and misery that make him so complicated. Concentrating on his role, more "first among equals" than a pure lead, should have viewers noticing Harrison Ford's career-best work and hopefully acknowledge the error in not nominating Lukita Maxwell and Brett Goldstein. - D.F. Best Lead Actress, Comedy Series Courtesy of HBO; Jessica Brooks/Netflix WILL WIN Jean Smart Jean Smart won for all three prior seasons of Hacks, vanquishing two of this year's other nominees - Quinta Brunson of ABC's Abbott Elementary and Ayo Edebiri of The Bear - along the way. This year's other two nominees are fan fav